Baltimore Ravens (1-2) vs Pittsburgh Steelers (1-1-1)Date : 09/30/2018
Time : 8:20 pm EST
Location : Heinz Field, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers
The Baltimore Ravens will travel to Heinz Field in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, for an AFC North battle with the Pittsburgh Steelers at 8:20 pm EST on Sunday night. The Ravens picked up a 27-14 home win over the Denver Broncos in week three as they would cover as 5.5 home favorites while the under was the play with the total being set at 46 points for the game. The Steelers won their first game of the year versus the Bucs on Monday night in picking up a 30-27 road win as they would cover the spread as one-point road underdogs while the over was the play with the total being set at 55 points for the contest. The last time these two teams met was on December 10, 2017, as the Steelers picked up the 39-38 win at Heinz Field as they would not cover the spread as six-point home favorites while the over was the play with the total being set at 43 points for the game. The Ravens are 3-0-1 ATS in last four meetings at Heinz Field while the underdogs are 5-1-1 ATS in last seven games.
Baltimore Ravens's Latest Performance :
The Ravens would get two field goals from Justin Tucker, a six-yard TD run by Alex Collins (18 rushes, 68 yards, TD), along with a Joe Flacco 12-yard pass to Javoris Allen to go up 17-14 at the half. Allen would also rush for a one-yard touchdown midway through the third period to seal the victory for the Ravens as they would rack up 77 yards on the ground while Flacco had 277 yards passing along with a TD in the win. John Brown and Michael Crabtree would combine for 12 catches for 147 yards receiving in the contest. The Ravens would also benefit from having 123 return yards in the game while they would fall short of their average of 32 points per game in the matchup. And while the defense would collect three sacks for the game, they allowed 120 yards on the ground to the Broncos while Case Keenum ended with 197 yards along with a TD.
Pittsburgh Steelers's Latest Performance :
After being down 7-6 entering the second period, the Steelers went on an offensive barrage to score 24 points thanks to two Ben Roethlisberger touchdown passes along with a Bud Dupree 10-yard interception return to put the road team up 30-10 at the half. Nonetheless, they would not score again as Ryan Fitzpatrick threw two touchdown passes in the second half while Chandler Catanzaro would chip in a field goal, yet, the Bucs could not pull out the victory in week three. Roethlisberger ended the night with 352 yards total with three scores along with an interception in the win while JuJu Smith-Shuster (116 yds, 9 rec) and Vance McDonald (4 rec, 112 yds, TD) would pace the receiving corps. The rushing attack for the Steelers collected only 78 yards for the game with James Conner having 61 of those on 15 carries. The offense for the Steelers, however, would give up three sacks to the Bucs while the team would rack up 115 yards in penalties in the victory. The Defense also allowed 411 passing yards to Fitzpatrick and Tampa Bay along with only 63 yards rushing while also recovering a fumble in the contest.
How Baltimore Ravens & Pittsburgh Steelers Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Baltimore is 2-1 ATS while the O/U is 2-1
Pittsburgh is 1-2 ATS while the O/U is 3-0
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
Both teams will be looking to extend their solid play on offense when the Ravens meet the Steelers on Sunday. In fact, the Ravens have had the upper hand as it relates to the spread in the last four outings while the underdog seems to cash in more often than not in this series. In all, look for this game to be an interesting, yet, competitive matchup versus two division teams that are looking to compete for a top spot within the AFC North in 2018. A win in this contest could certainly provide one of these teams much momentum moving forward.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Baltimore Ravens +3
My reason for the pick :
I will back the Ravens in this matchup in that they have dominated the spread in recent meetings versus the Steelers. Also, with the home team being very shaky on defense to start the season, I expect Flacco and the Ravens playmakers to take advantage of this on Sunday. Again, I will back the trends which states that the underdog has cashed in on the spread in recent matchups, so, with that being the case, the Ravens will certainly benefit from the current line in this week four contest.
Totals Selection: Pick: Over (off)
My reason for the prediction :
I happen to believe the over will be the strongest play in this matchup as the Steelers have been giving up points like candy to their opponents to start their 2018 campaign. And while Baltimore has not given up as many scores thus far, the Steelers are very familiar with what they intend to do on defense. With that being said, expect Roethlisberger and Flacco to have big games for their teams in this matchup as the score will certainly surpass the total set for the game in the contest.
Betting trends for Baltimore Ravens:
- Ravens are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass
- Ravens are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game
- Ravens are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Betting trends for Pittsburgh Steelers:
- Over is 5-0 in Steelers last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game
- Over is 4-0 in Steelers last 4 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game
- Steelers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. AFC.