Kansas City Chiefs (3-0) vs Denver Broncos (2-1)Date : 10/01/2018
Time : 8:15 pm EST
Location : Mile High Stadium, Denver, Colorado
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos
An AFC West matchup with the Kansas City Chiefs and the Denver Broncos will take place at Mile High Stadium in Denver, Colorado, on Monday night beginning at 8:15 pm EST. The Chiefs have been running through their competition thus far in the season as they would pick up a 38-27 home win over the San Francisco 49’ers while the Denver Broncos fell on the road to the Baltimore Ravens in week three by a 27-14 score to suffer their first loss of the season. These two teams last met on December 31, 2017, as the Chiefs picked up the 27-24 win at Mile High as they would cover as three-point road underdogs while the over was the play with the total being set at 37.5 points for the game.
Kansas City Chiefs's Latest Performance :
The Chiefs would jump out to a 34-10 halftime lead on the Niners in week three as Kareem Hunt had two rushing touchdowns while Pat Mahomes threw three touchdowns to which the road team could not recover, despite outscoring the Chiefs 17-3 in the second half. The defense would collect two sacks on the day while recovering a fumble in the win, however, Jimmy Garoppolo threw for 251 yards along with two touchdown passes, yet, would leave the game with a knee injury. Unfortunately, LB Dee Ford would leave the game for the Chiefs with a groin injury and is questionable for Monday’s matchup. The Niners also racked up 178 yards on the ground as Matt Breida led the attack with 90 yards total. Nonetheless, Pat Mahomes ended the game with 314 yards passing with three TD’s while Kareem Hunt had 44 yards on the ground along with two touchdowns in the win. Travis Kelce paced the receiving corps with 114 yards on eight catches for the Chiefs.
Denver Broncos's Latest Performance :
The Broncos would go down at the half to the Ravens last Sunday by a 20-14 score, however, two rushing touchdowns by Royce Freeman along with an Emmanuel Sanders 35-yard TD would keep the road team in the game. Unfortunately, they would not score again as the defense would allow the Ravens 77 yards on the ground while Joe Flacco threw for 277 yards along with a passing touchdown in the contest. And while the Broncos would collect three sacks in the game on defense, they also would allow 123 return yards to Baltimore in the loss. Case Keenum threw for 197 yards along with an interception in the game while Freeman would lead the rushing attack with 53 yards total and a TD. Demaryius Thomas led the receiving corps with 63 yards receiving on five catches for an offense that would collect 293 total yards in the loss. They will now face an offense in the Chiefs that are ranked in the top 15 in each offensive category while averaging 39 points per game. Furthermore, their passing attack (7th in the league) will be looking to exploit a pass defense for the Broncos that is ranked 23rd in the NFL in allowing 263 yards per game while allowing their opponents 23 points per contest.
How Kansas City Chiefs & Denver Broncos Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Kansas City is 3-0 ATS while the O/U is 3-0
Denver is 0-2-1 ATS while the O/U is 1-2
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
The Chiefs will face a Denver defense that is allowing 340 yards per game along with 23 points per outing. The Bronco offense is ranked 12th in the league in total yards per game with 383 yards while having the 3rd ranked rushing attack with a 145 yard per game average. And while the Chiefs have not locked down opposing offenses all year, they have a decent rush defense as they allow 111 yards on the ground thus far, good for 18th in the league. Their passing offense is terrible as it ranks 31st in the NFL in allowing 363 yards in the air. With that being said, both offenses should have more than enough opportunities to score in this matchup. The winner, however, will be the squad that is more efficient offensively and are able to control the trenches, which has proven to be the Chiefs lately.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Kansas City Chiefs -4.5
My reason for the pick :
It is a fact that the Chiefs are now looking as if they are offensive juggernauts. On the other hand, their defense cannot seem to stop anyone from scoring. It is for this reason that I see this as a high-scoring affair to where the Chiefs will follow their blueprint of outscoring their opponents by picking up big gains on their opponents. With that being said, I will back the Chiefs on the road in this matchup as no one has been able to figure out how to stop them thus far while Mahomes continues to impress with each week that passes.
Totals Selection: Pick: Over 55.5
My reason for the prediction :
Again, look for the Chiefs to score some points in this matchup as they are putting up 39 points per outing. Also, with a solid running game of their own along with the Chiefs run defense allowing allowing over 100 yards per game to their opponents, expect Keenum and company to utilize this aspect of their game in which to open the passing attack on a Chiefs passing defense that is allowing a whopping 363 yards per game. In all, look for some points to be scored on each side, however, also expect the Chiefs to outscore the Broncos at Mile High on Monday as they possess much more talent and speed that can certainly kill a defense in the end.
Betting trends for Kansas City Chiefs:
- Kansas City is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
- Kansas City is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City’s last 5 games on the road
- Kansas City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Denver
Betting trends for Denver Broncos:
- Denver is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver’s last 7 games
- Denver is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
- Denver is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver’s last 6 games when playing Kansas City