Dallas Cowboys (2-2) vs Houston Texans (1-3)Date : 10/07/2018
Time : 8:20 pm EST
Location : NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans
The Dallas Cowboys will travel to NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas, for an interstate showdown versus the Houston Texans on Sunday night beginning at 8:20 pm EST. Both teams are coming off wins with Dallas having a 26-24 home win over the Detroit Lions in week four as Ezekiel Elliot and the Cowboys rushing attack racked up 183 yards on the ground en route to the victory. The Texans picked up their first win on the road versus division foe Indianapolis Colts last Sunday as Ka’imi Fairbairn kicked his last of three total field goals for the game to seal the game for Houston in a 37-34 win. The last time the Texans met the Cowboys was on October 5, 2014 when Dallas got the 20-17 home win as the Cowboys would need overtime to sneak out a slim victory on a Dan Bailey 49-yard field goal as the home team was not able to cover the five-point spread as home favorites in this game.
Dallas Cowboys's Latest Performance :
Ezekiel Elliot did not score on the ground in the Cowboys matchup versus the Lions last Sunday, yet, his impact was certainly felt as he ran for 152 yards while catching a touchdown pass from Dak Prescott that put the Boys up by three late in the second quarter. Elliot also led all receivers will 88 yards on four receptions while Prescott passed for two touchdowns along with 255 yards for the game. Prescott, however, was sacked three times while Dallas only converted only one of three times within the red zone. The defense for Dallas got to Matthew Stafford three times as well during the game while allowing the Lions to convert one of two times within the red zone. Receiver Tavon Austin is yet to return from a shoulder injury while Elliot is probable for Sunday’s game with a knee injury. Defensive tackle Maliek Collins (knee), safety Jeff Heath (stinger), and Antwaun Woods (calf) are also questionable for Sunday’s matchup.
Houston Texans 's Latest Performance :
Deshaun Watson had two touchdown passes and an interception along with 375 yards, yet, Ka’imi Fairbairn was the hero for the Texans as he nailed three second half field goals while kicking a 37 yarder to seal the road victory for Houston versus the Colts in week four. The rushing attack also racked up 119 yards in the win with Lamar Miller having 49 yards on 14 carries. Deondre Hopkins (10 rec, 169 yds, TD) and Keke Coutee (11 rec, 109 yds) shine in the passing game over an inconsistent Colts secondary while the Texans overcame seven sacks by the Indy defense to pull out a victory. Houston had four sacks as well in the game while recovering two fumbles yet allowed Andrew Luck and the Colts to convert four of four attempts inside the red zone. Unfortunately, Houston has injuries for days as Will Fuller (Hamstring), Lamar Miller (undisclosed), offensive guard Senio Kelemete (knee), along with tackle Kendall Lamb (shoulder) are all questionable for their matchup with the Cowboys. Defensively, Brian Peters (ankle) is also questionable for the contest as well.
How Dallas Cowboys & Houston Texans Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Dallas is 1-3 ATS while the O/U is 1-3
Houston is 1-3 ATs while the O/U is 2-2
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
Both teams may be without some critical pieces on both sides of the ball, however, the Texans may be without two offensive tackles which, considering how the Texans rely on their rushing attack to set up passing opportunities, could certainly be damaging. Dallas, on the other hand, may be missing some heavy hitters within their defense also which could certainly level the playing field to some degree. Nonetheless, the fact is that both teams possess stellar rushing attacks that will definitely look to exploit the absence of key players along with defensive front along with decent passing attacks that will be itching to exploit holes in their opponents secondaries. In all, look for the game to be won in the trenches, of course, in that both will be looking to establish an effective running presence before expanding the game plan to their passing game.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Dallas Cowboys +3.5
My reason for the pick :
I happen to like the Houston Texans as they are certainly a tough team that values the importance of a solid rushing attack; However, Dallas also respects this philosophy and with them having Elliot along with home field advantage, look for this game to be close. Nonetheless, the Cowboys will come up with some clock killing drives in this matchup to bring the fight to the road team. In all, pick the home team to show and prove versus their in-state rival while also covering the spread as home dogs versus Houston on Sunday.
Totals Selection: Pick: Under 45
My reason for the prediction :
The under has been the play in Dallas’ last three contest while being the result in two of the last three road games for the Texans. Combine this with the fact that both teams will most certainly be looking to establish their run games early and often in this game, I expect the under to be the result. Again, both teams are very patient with their young QB talents in Prescott and Watson and will not put too much on their shoulders. With that being said, look for Elliot to suit up (despite a nagging knee injury) to come through once again for his team that will be attempting to garner even more momentum as the season progresses.
Betting trends for Dallas Cowboys:
- Houston is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston’s last 6 games
- Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Betting trends for Houston Texans :
- Dallas is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas’s last 8 games
- Dallas is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas’s last 5 games on the road