Buffalo Bills (2-3) vs Houston Texans (2-3)Date : 10/14/2018
Time : 1:00 pm EST
Location : NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Buffalo Bills vs Houston Texans
Two teams looking to regain their footing in the Buffalo Bills and the Houston Texans will battle at NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas, on Sunday afternoon at 1 pm EST in week six NFL action. The Bills recovered nicely from their 22-0 road loss to the Packers in week four by beating the Tennessee Titans at home by a 13-12 score as Steven Hauschka kicked a 46 yard field goal to seal the victory as time expired. The Texans picked up the 19-16 home win over the Dallas Cowboys as they also would need a late field goal by Ka’ami Fairbairn to win their second game in three outings. The last time these teams met was on December 6, 2015 when the Bills picked up the 30-21 home win as they covered the spread as three-point favorites while the cover of 42 points was the play. The favorites is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings versus these two teams while the Under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings.
Buffalo Bills's Latest Performance :
The Bills’ Josh Allen threw for only 82 yard and an interception in the win for the Bills versus the Titans on Sunday but had the only touchdown of the night on a 14-yard touchdown run that put Buffalo up by a touchdown in the first. From there, Steven Hauschka kicked two field goals of 40 and 46 yards to seal the victory for the home team. LeShon McCoy rushed for 85 yards on 24 carries as the rushing attack collected 144 yards on the ground while he also led the receiving corps with only 23 yards on two receptions. The Bills defense lived up to their 6th place ranking in total yards allowed per game as the Titans were allowed only 221 yards on the day. They also collected two sacks on the game while also having three turnovers for the game. Marcus Mariota only racked up 129 yards along with an interception in the loss while going scoreless inside the red zone in only one possession.
Houston Texans's Latest Performance :
Houston’s Deshaun Watson paced the Texans in their win over the Cowboys in week five as he threw for 375 along with an TD and an interception while Alfred Blue rushed for 46 yards on 20 carries as Houston’s 11th ranked rushing attack collected 88 yards on the day. Deondre Hopkins led the receiving corps with 151 yards on nine catches for an offense that went only one for six inside the red zone while having two turnovers for the day. Their 9th ranked rush defense allowed 98 yards rushing on the day while Dak Prescott ended with 208 yards, a TD, along with two interceptions. Finally, Dallas could only muster 14 first downs in the game while allowing two sacks in the loss. Nonetheless, the Texans defense will certainly struggle as cornerback Kayvon Webster along with linebacker Brian Peters are questionable with an ankle injury while Webster is out indefinitely with a quad injury.
How Buffalo Bills & Houston Texans Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Buffalo is 2-3 ATS while the OU is 2-3
Houston is 1-4 ATS while the OU is 2-3
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
The Bills are winning ugly, yet, a win is a win. The Texans have also won ugly as their two straight wins were by a combined six points. With that being the case, each team will look to maintain their recent play while shoring up offensive and defensive vulnerabilities. The Texans have certainly been able to move the ball much more effectively while the Bills continue to progress with Allen at the helm. In all, this will be an interesting matchup in that each will be looking to be more consistent in their play while also being much more physical within the trenches.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Houston Texans -8.5
My reason for the pick :
While both teams have been finding ways in which to win lately, I will back the Texans at home in this matchup as Watson has played much better overall than Josh Allen for the Bills while the offense for the Texans has moved the ball much more effectively than the Bills. Combine this with the fact that the Bills are 1-2 on the season in their only three road games of the year as they averaged ten points while the Texans gave up an average of 25 points during this time, I will gladly pick the home team to show and prove at home versus a team that they should handle well.
Totals Selection: Pick: Under (off)
My reason for the prediction :
Though the Texans will certainly pick up a win in this contest, the total will remain low for the game as both these offenses have trouble with sustaining drives this season. Buffalo has been terrible in averaging 221 yards per game with 12.6 points per game while the Texans average 424 points per game while putting up 23 points per game. In all, look for this to be a defensive minded, low-scoring affair to where scores will be at a minimum throughout.
Betting trends for Buffalo Bills:
- Over is 4-0 in Bills last 4 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
- Bills are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 4-0 in Bills last 4 games in Week 6.
Betting trends for Houston Texans:
- Under is 4-0 in Texans last 4 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Texans are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Over is 6-0 in Texans last 6 games in Week 6.