Buffalo Bills (2-4) vs Indianapolis Colts (1-5)Date : 10/21/2018
Time : 1:00 pm EST
Location : Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, Indiana
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Buffalo Bills vs Indianapolis Colts
The Buffalo Bills will travel to Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Indiana, to take on the Indianapolis Colts in week seven NFL action on Sunday afternoon at 1 pm EST. In their last outing, the Bills fell on the road versus the Houston Texans by a 20-14 score as Nate Peterman was picked off by Jonathan Joseph with 1:23 remaining in the game to seal the victory for the home team. The Colts could not get back into the win column versus the Jets in week six as they suffered the 42-34 road loss as Andrew Luck threw three picks in the matchup including a pick six to begin the game as Morris Claiborne returned it for 17 yards and a score to put the home team up 7-0. The last time these two teams met was on December 10, 2017 as the Bills picked up the 13-7 home win as LeShon McCoy picked up 156 yards on the ground for the game along with a touchdown to seal the victory.
Buffalo Bills's Latest Performance :
The Bills were terrible for yet another week as they struggled on offense throughout the game while being shut out in the first half as they went in with a 10-0 deficit. Thanks to two field goals by Stephen Hauschka along with a touchdown pass from Nate Peterman, who replaced Josh Allen in the game, the Bills were able to make the game interesting. Nonetheless, Peterman sealed the game with an interception to Jonathan Joseph as the Texans took the pick six along with the win. The Bills obtained only 226 yards for the game while turning the ball over three times along with collecting 104 yards in penalties. Allen and Peterman combined for 145 yards, a TD, along with two picks for the game while LeShon McCoy was a bright spot in rushing 17 times for 73 yards for the contest. The Bills defense played well in having seven sacks while collecting three turnovers in the contest in addition to allowing the Texans to go only one of four inside the red zone. Again, Josh Allen left the game with an elbow injury and is uncertain to play in this matchup.
Indianapolis Colts 's Latest Performance :
The Colts began the game on shaky terms with Luck throwing a pick six to Morris Claiborne to begin the game as this provided a bad omen altogether as the Jets went up 23-13 at the half. And while Luck would recover to throw three touchdown passes in the second half, the Colts fell despite going three for five inside the red zone while having 127 yards rushing on the day. Luck finished with 301 yards, 4 TD’s, along with three interceptions in the loss, the fourth straight for the team, while Eric Ebron had 71 yards and a score. Marlon Mack led the rushing attack with 89 yards on twelve rushes. The defense not only allowed 123 return yards for the Jets in the game, but, Sam Darnold threw for 280 yards, 2 TD’s, along with an interception while Jermaine Kearse racked up 94 yards on only four catches. Bilal Powell led the rushing attack with 59 yards on 16 carries for the Jets in the win. The defense for the Colts continue to struggle and may do so for yet another week as defensive lineman Denico Autry (hamstring) and Margus Hunt (knee) along with safety Clayton Geathers (neck) are all day to day with injuries and uncertain to play for their matchup versus the Bills. On the other hand, the 13th ranked offense in points scored may once again be without TY Hilton (hamstring) along with tight end Jack Doyle (hip) who are also day to day with injuries.
How Buffalo Bills & Indianapolis Colts Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Buffalo is 3-3 ATS while the OU is 2-4
Indianapolis is 2-4 ATS while the OU is 4-2
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
After coming off deflating losses in week six, both the Bills and the Colts will be looking for a win in this contest. The problem for he Bills is they may do it without their young signal caller in Josh Allen who may be sidelined for a week or two with an elbow injury. And while Peterman would play solid in attempting to rally the Bills, he threw a damaging interception late in the game that sealed the victory. The Colts have not defended the pass very well this season while the Bills have not done much of anything in the passing game as they rank dead last in the league with 123 yards per game. This should really be a game that the Colts, with the 10th ranked passing game in the league, should dominate as the Bills allow 216 yards per game in the air to their opponents.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Indianapolis Colts -6.5
My reason for the pick :
While the Colts have not played well at home or on the road this year, I will back them to get back into the win column in this game while covering the spread on Sunday afternoon versus a Bills team that has stunk it up this year. Combine this with Allen possibly being sidelined due to injury, it is only a matter of time before McCoy begins to complain about carries, which will bring about an impending mutiny in Buffalo which will cause them to pay less attention on winning and focus more on the drama inside the locker room. Again, the season will indeed get worse for the Bills which may bode well for the Colts who are currently shorthanded, yet, possess much more talent on offense with Luck, despite his erratic week six showing.
Totals Selection: Pick: Under (off)
My reason for the prediction :
I will back the under in this contest as the Colts and the bills have struggled on offense throughout the year. And while the defense for the Colts are middle of the road to lower tier in the league in stopping the run and pass, the Bills have not been able to move the ball due to shaky offensive line along with quarterback play this season which leads me to believe that Indy’s unit can indeed make some headway in this game. In all, look for the Colts to rebound at home versus the lowly Bills as they will score just enough to pull out the victory while covering the spread while the total will remain under its set total.
Betting trends for Buffalo Bills:
- Buffalo is 8-13-3 ATS in its last 24 games on the road
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo’s last 5 games on the road
- Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Buffalo’s last 7 games when playing Indianapolis
- Buffalo is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
Betting trends for Indianapolis Colts :
- The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Indianapolis’s last 13 games
- Indianapolis is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indianapolis’s last 7 games when playing Buffalo
- Indianapolis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo