Green Bay Packers (7-0) vs Los Angeles Rams (3-2)Date : 10/28/2018
Time : 4:25 pm EST
Location : Stub Hub Center, Los Angeles, California
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Rams
The Green Bay Packers will go on the road for a week eight battle versus the Los Angeles Rams, which will take place on Sunday afternoon at 4:25 pm EST at the Stub Hub Center in Los Angeles, California. The Packers are coming off a bye week yet defeated the San Francisco 49’ers at home by a 33-30 score on October 15th as Mason Crosby pulled out a victory for the Packers on a 27-yard field goal as time expired, bringing the road team to their second win in three outings. The Rams continue to dominate as they would defeat the 49’ers last weekend by a 39-10 score at Levi’s Stadium as the combination of Todd Gurley II and Jared Goff combined for four touchdowns while the defense stifled CJ Beathard and company throughout. The last time these teams met was on October 11, 2015 as the Packers picked up the 24-10 home win while covering as 8.5-point favorites. In fact, the favorites are 9-0 ATS in the last nine meetings while the Packers are 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings. Finally, the over is 5-0 in the last five games in Los Angeles.
Green Bay Packers's Latest Performance :
The Packers went into the bye week winning two of three while currently residing in the second place slot within the NFC North division. They continue to be terrible ATS as they are 2-4 on the season, however, they are continuing to pick up wins despite their apparent vulnerably which can be attributed to a lackluster rushing attack. In their last outing versus the 49’ers on October 15th, the Packers racked up 116 yards on the ground with Aaron Jones having 41 yards on eight carries. Nonetheless, the team continues to rank 20th in the league in this area and will find it even more difficult to run on a Rams defense that is allowing 100 yards rushing to their opponents per game. Aaron Rodgers and the passing game for Green Bay remains potent as they are ranked 4th in the league with Rodgers putting up 425 yards and two TD’s in his last time out versus the Niners. Yet, with the Rams having the 9th ranked pass defense, they may also find it equally difficult to find headway throughout this contest.
Los Angeles Rams 's Latest Performance :
The Rams have been outstanding this year on both sides of the ball. While their defense is allowing 18.3 points per game to their opponents, the offense is putting up close to 34 points an outing. And with the emergence of Jared Goff, Todd Gurley II, along with Robert woods, the Rams have become a team to be reckoned with in the NFL. They exhibited this in their last outing as they beat up on the Niners on the road as Goff threw for two touchdowns and 202 yards, Gurley ran for 63 yards along with two scores, while Woods ended with 78 yards on five catches as the Rams went up 22-7 at the half as they cruised to victory. The defense allowed only 228 yards of total offense to San Francisco while collecting seven sacks along with five turnovers. The average margin of victory for the Rams is 15 points with the average win at home coming by 19 points.
How Green Bay Packers & Los Angeles Rams Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Green Bay is 2-4 ATS while the OU is 5-1
Los Angeles is 4-3 ATS while the OU is 3-4
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
This will be a great test for both teams as Green Bay is looking to gain more consistency on both sides of the ball while the Rams are continuously looking to get better as they have shown no signs of taking their foot off the pedal. As stated, since the passing game is all that the Packers have going at this point, it will be interesting to see how they handle a Rams secondary that has been very solid all year. On the other hand, the Rams are ranked in the top ten in every offensive category this year while Green Bay in ranked in the top 20 in defense for 2018. In all, expect an exciting and entertaining game in this matchup.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Los Angeles Rams -9.5
My reason for the pick :
While the Packers have weathered the storm a bit to get back into the second place slot within their division, a matchup with the Rams will certainly serve to exploit their weaknesses once again as they are weak in defending the run while also having a run game that is nonexistent. With that being said, I will back the home team to cover the 9.5 points as the Packers have not been consistent on the defensive side of the ball, which could hinder them keeping up with such an offensive team in the Rams.
Totals Selection: Pick: Over 56.5
My reason for the prediction :
I will back the over in this contest as I believe that the Green Bay defense will be torched either in the pass or run (or both) in this game. However, I also believe that Aaron Rodgers will also take the lead for the Packers, as he always does, and put them in a position to remain competitive. In other words, this will be a back and forth game for some time with the Rams sealing the deal in the end. With that being the case, look for the over to be the strong play in what will be an offensive contest from start to finish.
Betting trends for Green Bay Packers:
- Packers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in October.
- Packers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.
- Over is 10-1 in Packers last 11 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Betting trends for Los Angeles Rams :
- Over is 6-0 in Rams last 6 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
- Over is 6-0 in Rams last 6 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
- Over is 5-1 in Rams last 6 games following an ATS win.