Houston Texans (5-3) vs Denver Broncos (3-5)Date : 11/04/2018
Time : 4:05 pm EST
Location : Mile High Stadium, Denver, Colorado
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Houston Texans vs Denver Broncos
The Houston Texans will take on the Denver Broncos in week nine NFL action on Sunday afternoon at 4:05 pm EST at Mile High Stadium in Denver, Colorado. The Texans are coming off a week eight home win over the struggling Miami Dolphins on October 25th as Deshawn Watson threw for five touchdown passes in the victory while the offense racked up 427 total yards for the game in their fifth straight win. The Broncos, however, fell on the road to the red-hot Kansas City Chiefs by a 30-23 score despite having 189 yards rushing for the game led by Phillip Lindsey along with two touchdown passes by Case Keenum. The last time these teams met was on October 24, 2016 as the Broncos picked up the 27-6 home win as Houston lost two fumbles in the contest while getting only 131 yards passing in addition to having 140 yards on the ground; However, the defense allowed 190 rushing yards to the home team that converted three of five possessions within the red zone to get the victory. The under is 4-1-1 in the last six games versus these two squads.
Houston Texans's Latest Performance :
The Texans began the season 0-3, but, have since won their last five games while averaging 28 points per game during this time. Houston is led by Desean Watson who has stepped things up at QB in passing for 10 TD’s along the four INT’s during this time, including a five-touchdown night in their last matchup versus the Dolphins on October 25th. Furthermore, Will Fuller V (5 rec, 124 yds, TD) along with Deondre Hopkins (6 rec, 82 yards, 2 TD’s) were also instrumental in their last victory as the passing attack put up 239 yards total. The rushing attack also shined versus a porous Dolphins defense as Lamar Miller put up 133 yards along with a score for a Houston team that racked up 188 yards total for the game.
And while the defense allowed 370 yards to Miami in the game along with 109 return yards, Brock Osweiler continued to struggle in throwing for 241 yards along with an interception while the rushing attack only racked up 116 yards for the night as Kenyon Drake finished with 58 yards and a TD. In all, the Texans have turned their season around on the strength of their defense, which ranks in the top 15 in every major defensive category this year. The rushing attack has improved with Miller as well in that he has put up great numbers thus far (582 yards, 3 TD’s). In all, the Texans will look to lead with their defense versus an offense in Denver that has struggled mightily in their last seven games, overall.
Denver Broncos's Latest Performance :
The Broncos certainly played well enough to win versus the Chiefs in their last time out as Keenum threw for 222 yards with Courtney Sutton along with Emmanuel Sanders combining for seven catches and 135 yards receiving while Lindsey ended the game with 95 yards and a TD. However, two turnovers combined with 87 yards in penalties would not allow them to pull off the victory as they dropped their fifth game in six outings last Sunday. Their defensive secondary was torched by Mahomes for four touchdown passes while Sammy Watkins was solid for the receiving corps with 107 yards along with two pass TD’s in the win. Denver, ahead of only the lowly Oakland Raiders within the AFC West standings, are badly in need of a victory.
They will find it difficult versus a Texans squad that has garnered momentum of their own in winning their last five games, overall, while allowing teams only 18 points per game during this time. For a Denver team that has struggled during their current skid, things could certainly be more of the same in this matchup if they are not able to present some type of cohesiveness on the both sides of the ball.
How Houston Texans & Denver Broncos Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Houston is3-5 ATS while the OU is 3-5
Denver is 2-4-1 ATS while the OU is 3-4
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
As stated, the Broncos have struggled both on offense and defense. With that being said, matching up with a team in the Texans that have seemingly found their mojo on both ends will certainly not be well for them. Also, with Sutton being out with an injury for the Broncos, it will not get any easier for their reeling offense. Nonetheless, Will Fuller V will also not suit up for Houston due to injury. However, Denver can bank of the fact that their rushing game is ranked in the top ten which gives them a fighting chance at keeping this game close and competitive throughout. Lindsey (853 yards, 4 TD’s) has been the star within the backfield and will look to continue his success versus a Texans rush defense that is allowing only 95 yards on the ground per game to their opponent.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Houston Texans +2
My reason for the pick :
With the way the Texans have been playing lately compared to the Broncos, I will gladly take the points with the road team in this matchup, particularly with Houston winning their last two road games while going 2-0 ATS during this time, after beginning the season 0-2 on the road (0-2 ATS). Furthermore, Watson and company are continuously developing heir running game with Miller who has really done well in taking the pressure of the passing game. Finally, Hopkins continue to shine for Houston and will likely have a solid game versus a Denver pass defense that has allowed 238 yards per game this year to opponents.
Totals Selection: Pick: Under 46.5
My reason for the prediction :
While the Texans have done well for themselves in their last five games, they continue to have issues scoring. In their five-game winning streak, they have only put up an average of 28 points per game, which was bolstered immensely by the 42 points scored versus the Dolphins in their last time out. On the other hand, the Broncos are dismal as well in putting up 23.5 points per outing as their rushing attack has kept them in games constantly throughout the year. Expect them to employ the same philosophy in this matchup as the clock will indeed tick as a result. The under has been the play in three of four home games for Denver this year while also being the result in three of four road games for the Texans in 2018.
Betting trends for Houston Texans:
- Texans are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
- Under is 6-1 in Texans last 7 games on grass.
- Under is 5-1 in Texans last 6 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Betting trends for Denver Broncos:
- Broncos are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
- Over is 6-0 in Broncos last 6 games in Week 9.
- Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 9.