Miami Dolphins (5-4) vs Green Bay Packers (3-4)Date : 11/11/2018
Time : 4:25 pm EST
Location : Lambeau Field, Green Bay, Wisconsin
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Miami Dolphins vs Green Bay Packers
The Miami Dolphins will travel to Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wisconsin, to battle the Green Bay Packers on Sunday afternoon at 4:25 pm EST. The Dolphins are coming off their second win in six games as they picked up the slim 13-6 home win over the Jets while the Packers suffered a 31-17 road loss to the New England Patriots on Sunday night as the Patriots scored 14 pints in the fourth period to seal the home victory. The last time these teams met dates to October 12, 2014 to which the Packers picked up the 27-24 road win as they also covered as 1.5-point favorites.
Miami Dolphins 's Latest Performance :
The Dolphins are also not looking well as they have dropped four of their last five games. During this time, they were only averaging 17 points per game while their defense allowed 35 points. Nonetheless, they were able to get yet another low scoring victory over the struggling New York Jets at home in their last outing. Brock Osweiler halted his streak of passing for 200 or more yards by having only 139 yards alongside no TD’s or INT’s. Frank Gore led the rushing attack that only mustered 64 yards for the game with 53 yards on 20 carries while Danny Amendola had five receptions for only 47 yards for the game as the Dolphins ended with only 164 yards total offense compared to 275 for the Jets.
In all, the Dolphins need more from their rushing attack along with more consistent play from their quarterback while Tannehill is out with a shoulder injury. They may find it difficult this week versus a Green Bay team that is desperate for a win while looking to build upon its home success (3-0-1).
Green Bay Packers 's Latest Performance :
The Packers are free-falling as they have dropped three of their last four games while being 2-3 ATS during this time. The defense can be blamed for this as they have allowed 30 points or more in each of Green Bays last four outings. This was once again the case as they fell to the Patriots on the road as they allowed 31 points while allowing Tom Brady to pass for 294 yards and a TD while Josh Gordon helped torch their secondary in obtaining 130 yards and a score in the win. Of course, Aaron Rodgers kept the Packers afloat with two touchdown passes to Devonte Adams and Jimmy Graham, however, they got nothing out of their rushing attack that put up only 118 yards as Aaron Jones had 76 yards on 14 carries for the game.
Green Bay’s offense has decreased its scoring as well and is only averaging 24 points per game in 2018. Combine this with the fact that three of the Packers last four home games were decided by three points or less aside from a 22-0 win over the lowly Buffalo Bills on September 30th, this could very well be in interesting game.
How Miami Dolphins & Green Bay Packers Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Miami is 5-4 ATS while the OU is 5-4
Green Bay is 3-5 ATS while the OU is 5-3
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
This will be an important game for both teams as Miami will want to remain directly behind the Patriots in the AFC East while also building from their last outing. On the other hand, the Packers will want to end their two game skid on a winning note at home versus a team in the Dolphins that have not played well outside of Hard Rock Stadium in going 1-3 SU for the year and 1-3 ATS.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Green Bay Packers -9.5
My reason for the pick :
I will back the Packers to rebound after a tough loss to the Patriots in their last time out. The Dolphins have been too up and down lately yet have had some of their most lopsided losses on the road. Aside from their early 20-12 win over the Jets in September, they have gone 0-3 ATS on the road while going winless in those outings to where they were outscored by a combined 107-47. In all, look for the Packers to win big over the Dolphins on Sunday afternoon.
Totals Selection: Pick: Over 47.5
My reason for the prediction :
As stated, the Dolphins do not play well away from home. The Packers, on the other hand, have thrived thus far due to their play at home. With that being said, with Rodgers and the crew needing a win to somehow continue to chase for an NFC North crown, they must begin the process now. And this can be done by getting Rodgers more time in the pocket in which to allow for more opportunities to score. With Miami allowing over 35 points per game to their opponents in their last three road games, look for the Packers to come out of their funk early and often in this matchup.
Betting trends for Miami Dolphins :
- Over is 4-0 in Dolphins last 4 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Dolphins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
- Dolphins are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games.
Betting trends for Green Bay Packers :
- Packers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 10-1 in Packers last 11 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1 in Packers last 7 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game