New York Jets (3-9) vs Buffalo Bills (4-8)Date : 12/09/2018
Time : 1:00 pm EST
Location : New Era Field, Buffalo, New York
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills
The New York Jets will travel to New Era field in Buffalo, New York, to battle the Buffalo Bills on Sunday afternoon at 1 p.m. Eastern Standard Time. The Jets come into this matchup losers of six straight games as their last loss came at the hands of the Tennessee Titans as they dropped a matchup on the road by a 26-22 score. For this game, the Jets relinquished a 22 – 13 lead late in the game due to two field goals by the Titans along with a touchdown pass by Marcus Mariota as this sealed the victory for the home team.
On the other hand, the Buffalo Bills did not pick up their third straight win in their last outing versus the Miami Dolphins as they suffered the 21 – 17 loss as they got two touchdown passes along with two interceptions from Josh Allen in the loss while Allen also rushed for 135 yards on the day. Yet, the Bills suffered the loss due to Ryan Tannehill throwing for three touchdowns for the Dolphins in the much-needed win. The bills picked up the 41-10 road win over the Jets in their last matchup on November 11th as they also covered as 7 point road underdogs as well.
In fact, the underdog has covered the spread in six of the last seven meetings almost these two teams while the Jets are 1-5 against the spread in their last six meetings at New Era field. Furthermore, the under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings amongst these teams in Buffalo.
New York Jets 's Latest Performance :
The New York Jets lost their sixth straight game as they could not hang on for a win versus the Tennessee Titans in their last outing as the home team rallied late in the game in which to pick up a 26-22 when last weekend. In all, New York is averaging just 15 points per outing during their current losing skid while the defense is allowing teams to score 28 points the contest during this time. And while Marcus Mariota had two touchdown passes on the night to lead the Titans to victory, he also threw a pick-six to Trumaine Johnson early in the game in which to put the Jets up 10-0 early in the game.
As stated, the Jets were on 22-13 before two Ryan Succop field goes along with an 11 yard pass from Marcus Mariota to Corey Davis with 36 seconds remaining in the game which ultimately sealed the victory for Tennessee. The Jets defense sacked Mariotta 3 times in the game yet the Titans were able to convert 3 of 5 attempts within the red zone for the night, thus changing the complexity of the game.
In all, look for the Jets to attempt to clean up their road record on the year as they are 0-5 in as many road games while the Bills will return home for home games versus the Jets along with the Detroit Lions, two games which they should be very competitive in.
Buffalo Bills 's Latest Performance :
Despite the horrible season for the Buffalo Bills, they are winners of two of their last three games, overall, despite picking up the loss versus the Miami Dolphins in their last outing. Josh Allen was a one-man show as he threw for 231 yards while rushing for 135 yards on the day; Yet, the Bills were unable to overcome three touchdown passes by Ryan Tannehill (to two three different receivers) while the Dolphins went 3-3 inside the red zone for the night.
The rushing game for the Bills came alive in this matchup, however, as they racked up 188 yards on the night after averaging only 121 yards per outing on the year. Finally, Zay Jones scored two touchdowns while catching four passes for 62 yards to lead the receiving corps for the Bills in defeat. In all, Allen has certainly transformed himself into a dual-threat quarterback for Buffalo, however, the Bills will certainly have to improve in their overall offensive efficiency in which two allow the team to string together some wins to end the season as the defense certainly seems to be playing very well at this point in allowing just 15 points per outing to opponents in their last 3 games, altogether.
How New York Jets & Buffalo Bills Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
New York is 4 – 8 ATS while the OU is 7 – 5
buffalo is 5 – 7 ATS while the OU is 5 – 7
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
The Bills will be looking to get back into the win column with a win over a struggling New York Jets team this weekend as they will certainly be looking to end the season on a strong note after a disastrous start in 2018. On the other hand, the New York Jets will be looking to halt a 6 game losing streak, but, also attempting to get their offense back on track in the absence of Sam Darnold under center. I will expect both teams to establish themselves within the trenches, first and foremost, in which to utilize their rushing attack. However, the Bills defense, in particular, has been playing very well lately while the pass defense for Buffalo ranks first in the league as they are only giving up 187 yards per outing to opponents.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Buffalo Bills - 3.5
My reason for the pick :
While the Jets will certainly come in focused on picking up a much-needed win, I will back the home team in the Bills in this matchup as I certainly believe that they have the confidence and momentum in which to come into this game and cover the small spread at home. As stated, the defense for the Bills have played inspired football lately in allowing teams only 15 points per game in their last three outings. On the other hand, Allen is certainly beginning to make more and more plays both with his legs and arm, which means that the Bills will certainly be able to make some critical plays at various points in the game in which to maintain possession while also putting some points on the board, as a result. In all, look for the Bills to cover the spread in this matchup, as stated, as they will be matched up against a Jets team that simply does not have what it takes on offense in which two keep the chains moving consistently.
Totals Selection: Pick: Under
My reason for the prediction :
And while I believe that both teams will put some points on the board, I happen to believe that the under will be the strong play in this matchup as you are dealing with two struggling offenses that continue to have issues with consistency on the offensive end. With that being the case, expect this to be a field goal laden game as both offenses will certainly sputter as they become closer to the end zone, thus allowing for the kickers to take center stage.
Betting trends for New York Jets :
- Jets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC East.
Over is 4-0 in Jets last 4 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Jets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Betting trends for Buffalo Bills :
- Under is 9-1 in Bills last 10 games in Week 14.
Over is 9-2 in Bills last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Bills are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.