Indianapolis Colts (6-6) vs Houston Texans (9-3)Date : 12/09/2018
Time : 1:00 pm EST
Location : NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas
Pick, Prediction, & Preview:
Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans
The Indianapolis Colts go to travel to NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas, to battle the Houston Texans on Sunday afternoon at 1 p.m. Eastern Standard Time. The Houston Texas enters this matchup winners of nine straight games as they picked up a home win over the Cleveland Browns in their last time out due to a 29-13 score as they held the Browns scoreless in the first half while only allowing 31 yards rushing total for the visitors en route to the victory.
On the other hand, the Indianapolis Colts halted a five game winning streak as they suffered a heartbreaking 6-0 road loss to the struggling Jacksonville Jaguars in their last outing as two Josh Lambo field goals was the difference in the game as both defenses were stellar in limiting offensive opportunities for the opposing offense throughout. These teams last met on September 30th as the Houston Texans pick up the 37-34 road win while also covering as 1 point favorites. Nonetheless, the Colts are 4-0-1 against the spread in their last 5 meetings at NRG Stadium while the over has been the play in four of the last 5 meetings amongst these teams in Houston.
Indianapolis Colts 's Latest Performance :
The Indianapolis Colts began the season with a 1-4 record; However have since rebounded in which to go 5-1 in their last six games yet suffered a 6-0 loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars on the road in their last outing. The defense played lights out for the Colts as they allowed the Jaguars only 79 yards on the ground while Cody Kessler threw for only 150 yards 18 – 24 passing for the day. The Jaguars were also 0-2 within the red zone while racking up only 11 first downs compared to 19 for Indianapolis. Kessler was also sacked three times by the Indianapolis Colts defense allowed Andrew Luck was also sacked 3 times in the matchup as well.
Luck, however, threw for 248 yards along with an interception while the rushing attack for Indianapolis only racked up 41 yards on the night as Marlon Mack obtained 27 yards on the ground while Eric Ebron shined within the passing game as he caught 10 passes for 81 yards. Indianapolis is currently in second place with in the AFC South Division and while they are behind the Houston Texans buy a full 3 games, a win in this matchup could certainly do much for their confidence moving forward. It is for this reason that I expect the Colts to certainly come out focused in this matchup to get the all-important win.
Houston Texans's Latest Performance :
While the defense for Houston has been stellar all season, it has been the offense that has stepped up recently in which to allow Houston to continue their awesome winning streak as they are putting up an average of 33 points per game in their last two outings while their defense continues to dominate in allowing teams only 15 points per outing during this time. As stated, they allowed the Cleveland Browns only 31 yards rushing in their last contest while Baker Mayfield passed four 397 yards total for the game. However, Mayfield also threw three costly interceptions to an opportunistic Houston Texans defensive unit with Zach Cunningham returning one of those picks for a 38 yard touchdown to put the Texans up by a 17-0 score early in the game.
On the other hand, the offense for Houston was clicking on all cylinders, particularly in the running game as they were led by Lamar Miller with 103 yards on the night for a Texans team that rushed for 187 yards on the night. Deshaun Watson passed for 224 yards along with a TD pass in the matchup while DeAndre Hopkins led the receiving corps with 91 yards on seven catches. In all, the Houston Texans are clicking on all cylinders on both sides of the ball at a critical time in the season. As stated, their defense has been dominant all year long and will look to continue this versus an Indianapolis team that had been averaging 34 points per game in their last five outings before being shut out by a reeling Jacksonville Jaguars squad. On the other hand, the offense for Houston will definitely look to get going within the trenches early on has this has been their philosophy all season.
How Indianapolis Colts & Houston Texans Matchup.
Vegas Odds, Offshore Odds, & Odds ATS:
Indianapolis is 5 – 6 – 1 ATS while the OU is 6-6
Houston is 6 – 6 ATS while the OU is 5 – 7
In-Depth Analysis of each team:
As stated, this will be an important AFC South division match up on Sunday afternoon as the Colts will be looking to make up some ground on the first place Houston Texans with a win. On the other hand, Houston will also be looking to create some space between themselves and the second place team by continuing to play sound fundamental defense while remaining consistent on the offensive end, particularly in the rushing game. In all, expect for this to be a very competitive yet low-scoring affair where both offenses will find it difficult in which to move the ball throughout due to the overall importance of the matchup as a whole. In other words, with so much riding on the outcome of the contest, expect both teams to fight tooth-and-nail for every inch that they may obtain in this contest.
Against The Spread Selection: Pick: Indianapolis Colts+4.5
My reason for the pick :
While the Texans may indeed come out with a win at home in this contest, expect for the Colts to come out and make this game very interesting throughout. Again, the Colts not only played well versus the Texans in their last matchup in September, but, come into this match up with loads of confidence after winning five of their last six games, overall. With that being the case, Luck & Company will look to test a Houston Texans defense that is giving up a tad over 250 yards passing per game. On the other hand, the rushing game for Indy may certainly struggle due to the Texans being solid in preventing teams from rushing all season.
Totals Selection: Pick: Under 49.5
My reason for the prediction :
Despite the over being the play in the last matchup amongst these teams, I happen to believe that the Texans have come into their own as the season progressed, meaning that their defense has certainly matured over time in 2018. With that being the case, look for them to play much better versus Andrew Luck this time around as the Colts hung 34 on Houston in the last meeting. In all, the under will certainly be the strong play as Houston will hunker down at critical points within the game while the Colts will also performed much better versus a Houston Texans team that has certainly stepped things up on the offensive end lately as well.
Betting trends for Indianapolis Colts :
- Under is 6-0 in Colts last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Colts are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 14.
Under is 21-5 in Colts last 26 games in December.
Betting trends for Houston Texans:
- Under is 4-0 in Texans last 4 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Texans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC.
Under is 4-0 in Texans last 4 games in Week 14.